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Will there be more than 330 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Closes 17 Nov 2026 · Source: Kalshi · updated 15 h ago · prices checked every 2 minutes
49%
1h ±024h +17d +17

As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at 49%, up 1 point in 24 hours. The latest big move (+17 pts on November 14, 2026) had no news story we could tie it to.

Chance over time

Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.

Why it moved

· 31% → 48% in 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
+17 pts
· 30% → 38% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
+8 pts

Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.

By venue

Kalshi $14K
49%
Kalshi rules ↗

Questions about this market

What are the odds of will there be more than 330 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026 right now?

As of 17:20 UTC on November 14, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at 49%, up 1 points over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.

How do I read a 49¢ contract?

A “Yes” contract costs about 49 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 49% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Why did the odds of will there be more than 330 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026 change?

The latest big move was +17 pts on November 14, 2026, and we found no news story behind it. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.

When does this market resolve?

Trading closes on November 17, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.

Key facts

Market-implied chance
49%
7-day range
30% – 49%
Big moves recorded
2 (latest November 14, 2026)
Venues
Kalshi $14K 24h volume
Closes
November 17, 2026
Tracked since
November 13, 2026
Last updated

How to read these odds · How we calculate this

Cite this market

Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.

Prediction markets put the chance of will there be more than 330 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026 at 49% as of November 14, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-there-be-more-than-330-transit-calls-through-the-suez-canal-from-nov-9).

Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:00 UTC).