Story

Democrats Senate: prediction market odds and what moved them

3 markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are about Democrats Senate, with prices checked every two minutes. The biggest move of the last 7 days was +20 pts on “Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 0.8 percentage points?”.

All Democrats Senate markets

Market	Chance now	Biggest move, 7 days
Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?	>99%	–
Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?	>99%	−8 pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 0.8 percentage points?	65%	+20 pts

A market's chance is its latest price on Kalshi or Polymarket. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.

What moved, and why

All moves →

+17pts · 1h

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 0.8 percentage points?

NEWPolitics46% → 63%16 h ago

Moved after: Democrats eye killing Senate filibuster as lawmaker warns move could be a 'double-edged sword' Source ↗

65%now

−8pts · 1h

Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

NEWPolitics99% → 91%3 d ago

Related news: A New Deal for the Age of AI: How Democrats can hold Big Tech accountable Source ↗ 🐋 $5K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.

>99%now

This page is put together automatically from the markets that name Democrats Senate. Explanations come from public headlines and may be wrong; each one links to its source. How it works → · Free alerts on Telegram →