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Israel Iran: prediction market odds and what moved them

7 markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are about Israel Iran, with prices checked every two minutes. The biggest move of the last 7 days was +17 pts on “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?”: Trump says Iran war to end fairly soon.

All Israel Iran markets

MarketChance nowBiggest move, 7 days
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?>99%–
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?93%−8 pts
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?72%+17 pts
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?86%−8 pts
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 13?>99%–
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?69%–
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?97%–

A market's chance is its latest price on Kalshi or Polymarket. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.

What moved, and why

All moves →
−8pts · 1h
NEWWorld91% → 83%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $5K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
93%now

This page is put together automatically from the markets that name Israel Iran. Explanations come from public headlines and may be wrong; each one links to its source. How it works → · Free alerts on Telegram →