−12pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
47%now
Story
Secretary Commerce: prediction market odds and what moved them
3 markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are about Secretary Commerce, with prices checked every two minutes. The biggest move of the last 7 days was +35 pts on “Will Howard Lutnick leaves Secretary of Commerce in before 2027?”.
All Secretary Commerce markets
| Market | Chance now | Biggest move, 7 days |
|---|---|---|
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | 47% | −15 pts |
| Will Howard Lutnick leaves Secretary of Commerce in before 2027? | 47% | +35 pts |
| Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jan 1, 2027? | 47% | −11 pts |
A market's chance is its latest price on Kalshi or Polymarket. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.
What moved, and why
All moves →−15pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
47%now
−9pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
47%now
This page is put together automatically from the markets that name Secretary Commerce. Explanations come from public headlines and may be wrong; each one links to its source. How it works → · Free alerts on Telegram →