−27pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
43%now
Topic
Weather prediction markets: live odds and what moved them
We track 11 weather markets on Kalshi and Polymarket, updated every two minutes. In the last 7 days, 19 of them had a big move. The largest was −27 pts on “Will it rain in Pittsburgh on Nov 14, 2026?”.
Most traded weather markets
Will it rain in Dallas on Nov 14, 2026?>99%Will it rain in Los Angeles on Nov 14, 2026?>99%Will it rain in San Antonio on Nov 14, 2026?>99%Will it rain in College Station on Nov 14, 2026?>99%Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Nov 14, 2026?>99%Will the maximum temperature be 46-47° on Nov 14, 2026?>99%Will it rain in San Francisco on Nov 14, 2026?>99%Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Nov 14, 2026?>99%Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?85%▼6 24hWill Nov 2026 be the hottest Nov ever?86%Will it rain in Los Angeles between Nov 14 and Nov 15, 2026?>99%
Recent big moves
All weather moves →−9pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
43%now
−31pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
20%now
+17pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
>99%now
−11pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
95%now
+9pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
2%now
+8pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
>99%now
−8pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
>99%now
+16pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
95%now
−8pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
2%now