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How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?: 5 or more

Closes 01 Dec 2026 · Source: Kalshi · updated 2 min ago · prices checked every 2 minutes
94%
1h −124h +97d +17

As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at 94%, up 9 points in 24 hours. The latest big move (+10 pts on November 14, 2026) had no news story we could tie it to.

Alert me when it moves

Chance over time

70%80%90%100%WedThuFriSatSun +10 pts: No news story found for this move yet.−9 pts: No news story found for this move yet.+23 pts: No news story found for this move yet.+14 pts: No news story found for this move yet.−9 pts: No news story found for this move yet.+17 pts: No news story found for this move yet.−9 pts: No news story found for this move yet.+16 pts: Moved after: Donald Trump Jr. exits advisory role at Kalshi prediction market+15 pts: Related news: Donald Trump Jr. exits advisory role at Kalshi prediction market

Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.

Why it moved

· 83% → 93% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $9K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
+10 pts
· 93% → 84% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
−9 pts
· 70% → 93% in 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
+23 pts
· 73% → 86% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $8K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
+14 pts
· 90% → 81% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
−9 pts
· 74% → 91% in 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
+17 pts
· 91% → 82% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
−9 pts
· 74% → 89% in 1d
Moved after: Donald Trump Jr. exits advisory role at Kalshi prediction market Source ↗
+16 pts
· 70% → 84% in 1h
Related news: Donald Trump Jr. exits advisory role at Kalshi prediction market Source ↗
+15 pts

Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.

By venue

Kalshi $32K
94%
Kalshi rules ↗

Questions about this market

What are the odds of how many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?: 5 or more right now?

As of 08:00 UTC on November 15, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at 94%, up 9 points over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.

How do I read a 94¢ contract?

A “Yes” contract costs about 94 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 94% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Why did the odds of how many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?: 5 or more change?

The latest big move was +10 pts on November 14, 2026, and we found no news story behind it. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.

When does this market resolve?

Trading closes on December 1, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.

Key facts

Market-implied chance
94%
7-day range
70% – 97%
Big moves recorded
9 (latest November 14, 2026)
Venues
Kalshi $32K 24h volume
Closes
December 1, 2026
Tracked since
November 10, 2026
Last updated

How to read these odds · How we calculate this

Cite this market

Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.

Prediction markets put the chance of how many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?: 5 or more at 94% as of November 15, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/how-many-times-will-donald-trump-visit-mar-a-lago-in-nov-2026-5-or-more).

Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:00 UTC).