Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
As of , polymarket traders put the chance of “Yes” at 3%, unchanged over 24 hours. Latest big move (−64 pts on November 11, 2026): Hegseth impeachment was blocked.
Chance over time
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Why it moved
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Questions about this market
What are the odds of pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026 right now?
As of 23:50 UTC on November 11, 2026, Polymarket traders price “Yes” at 3%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 3¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 3 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 3% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026 change?
The latest big move was −64 pts on November 11, 2026: Hegseth impeachment was blocked. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on January 1, 2027. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- 3%
- 7-day range
- 1% – 82%
- Big moves recorded
- 17 (latest November 11, 2026)
- Venues
- Polymarket $90K 24h volume
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
- Tracked since
- November 8, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Polymarket, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026 at 3% as of November 11, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/pete-hegseth-impeached-by-december-31-2026).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:20 UTC).