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Will it rain in Columbus on Nov 11, 2026?

Closes 12 Nov 2026 · Source: Kalshi · updated 3 d ago · prices checked every 2 minutes
80%
1h ±024h ±07d +32

This market closed on November 12, 2026. Kalshi traders last priced “Yes” at 80%. The latest big move (−8 pts on November 11, 2026) had no news story we could tie it to.

Chance over time

Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.

Why it moved

· 47% → 39% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
−8 pts
· 48% → 56% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
+8 pts

Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.

By venue

Kalshi $107K
80%
Kalshi rules ↗

Questions about this market

What are the odds of will it rain in Columbus on Nov 11, 2026 right now?

As of 03:16 UTC on November 12, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at 80%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.

How do I read a 80¢ contract?

A “Yes” contract costs about 80 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 80% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Why did the odds of will it rain in Columbus on Nov 11, 2026 change?

The latest big move was −8 pts on November 11, 2026, and we found no news story behind it. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.

When does this market resolve?

Trading closes on November 12, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.

Key facts

Market-implied chance
80%
7-day range
39% – 81%
Big moves recorded
2 (latest November 11, 2026)
Venues
Kalshi $107K 24h volume
Closes
November 12, 2026
Tracked since
November 11, 2026
Last updated

How to read these odds · How we calculate this

Cite this market

Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.

Prediction markets put the chance of will it rain in Columbus on Nov 11, 2026 at 80% as of November 12, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-it-rain-in-columbus-on-nov-11-2026).

Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:20 UTC).