Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
As of , polymarket traders put the chance of “Yes” at 46%, unchanged over 24 hours. Latest big move (−12 pts on November 11, 2026): Fed calls inflation report disturbing.
Chance over time
Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.
Why it moved
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Questions about this market
What are the odds of will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting right now?
As of 11:20 UTC on November 12, 2026, Polymarket traders price “Yes” at 46%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 46¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 46 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 46% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting change?
The latest big move was −12 pts on November 11, 2026: Fed calls inflation report disturbing. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on January 28, 2027. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- 46%
- 7-day range
- 45% – 56%
- Big moves recorded
- 1 (latest November 11, 2026)
- Venues
- Polymarket $57K 24h volume
- Closes
- January 28, 2027
- Tracked since
- November 10, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Polymarket, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting at 46% as of November 12, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-january-2027-meeting).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:20 UTC).