Will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jul 1, 2027?

Closes 01 Jul 2027 · Source: Kalshi · updated 3 d ago · prices checked every 2 minutes

88%

1h ±024h ±07d +49

As of 15:30 UTC on November 12, 2026, kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at 88%, unchanged over 24 hours. The latest big move (−12 pts on November 12, 2026) followed the headline “Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang resigns amid affair scandals”.

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Chance over time

Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.

Why it moved

12 Nov 2026 15:30 UTC · >99% → 88% in 1h

Moved after: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang resigns amid affair scandals Source ↗

−12 pts

12 Nov 2026 12:20 UTC · 40% → 84% in 1d

Related news: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang resigns amid affair scandals Source ↗

+44 pts

12 Nov 2026 10:20 UTC · 40% → 84% in 1d

Nvidia stock falls as investors await Jensen Huang’s fate. Source ↗

+45 pts

12 Nov 2026 08:20 UTC · 40% → 88% in 1d

Moved after: China's Ministry of State Security thrust into the spotlight by Nvidia CEO affair Source ↗

+48 pts

12 Nov 2026 06:12 UTC · 41% → 85% in 1d

Jensen Huang reportedly faces the axe. Source ↗

+45 pts

12 Nov 2026 04:12 UTC · 40% → 91% in 1d

Jensen Huang reportedly faces the axe. Source ↗

+51 pts

12 Nov 2026 02:10 UTC · 40% → 93% in 1d

Moved after: Cramer's stance on Nvidia's stock amid reports that CEO Jensen Huang may be ousted Source ↗

+53 pts

12 Nov 2026 00:06 UTC · 83% → 93% in 1h

Nvidia prepares to oust Jensen Huang. Source ↗ 🐋 $24K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.

+10 pts

11 Nov 2026 22:00 UTC · 39% → 59% in 1h

Kudlow calls on Nvidia CEO to step down. Source ↗ 🐋 $4K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.

+20 pts

Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.

By venue

Kalshi $763K

88%

Kalshi rules ↗

Questions about this market

What are the odds of will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jul 1, 2027 right now?

As of 15:30 UTC on November 12, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at 88%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.

How do I read a 88¢ contract?

A “Yes” contract costs about 88 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 88% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Why did the odds of will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jul 1, 2027 change?

The latest big move was −12 pts on November 12, 2026: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang resigns amid affair scandals. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.

When does this market resolve?

Trading closes on July 1, 2027. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.

Key facts

Market-implied chance: 88%
7-day range: 36% – >99%
Big moves recorded: 9 (latest November 12, 2026)
Venues: Kalshi $763K 24h volume
Closes: July 1, 2027
Tracked since: November 10, 2026
Last updated: 15:30 UTC, November 12, 2026

How to read these odds · How we calculate this

Cite this market

Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.

Prediction markets put the chance of will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jul 1, 2027 at 88% as of November 12, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-jensen-huang-leave-as-nvidia-ceo-before-jul-1-2027-before-jul-1-2027).

Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:20 UTC).