Steady Polymarket wallets: profit that grew in a straight line
Size is not skill. These are the wallets whose profit rose steadily over the last 180 days, ranked by how straight the line is, with the worst fall along the way.
| # | Wallet | Profit, 180 days | Worst drawdown | Months in profit | Steadiness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | mo-money No sports | +$531K 3.5% of $15M traded | −$9K profit 58× the drawdown | 6 of 6 | 98 |
| 2 | Bitgod | +$16K 0.6% of $2.8M traded | −$1K profit 14× the drawdown | 6 of 6 | 97 |
| 3 | frohp5 Sports only | +$128K 4.1% of $3.1M traded | −$11K profit 11× the drawdown | 6 of 6 | 96 |
| 4 | balthazar No sports | +$796K 3.1% of $26M traded | −$281K profit 2.8× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 95 |
| 5 | Telepath-One | +$36K 4.5% of $808K traded | −$6K profit 5.9× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 94 |
| 6 | No sports | +$172K 2.4% of $7.3M traded | −$16K profit 11× the drawdown | 6 of 6 | 93 |
| 7 | theta-thunberg No sports | +$36K 5.9% of $614K traded | −$4K profit 8.4× the drawdown | 4 of 6 | 93 |
| 8 | justdance No sports | +$398K 3.1% of $13M traded | −$77K profit 5.2× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 93 |
| 9 | schizohedgehog No sports | +$116K 4.0% of $2.9M traded | −$45K profit 2.6× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 90 |
| 10 | easypredict No sports | +$155K 5.0% of $3.1M traded | −$43K profit 3.6× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 89 |
| 11 | paddaa No sports | +$264K 3.7% of $7.2M traded | −$34K profit 7.7× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 89 |
| 12 | MEPP No sports | +$179K 2.3% of $7.8M traded | −$52K profit 3.4× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 86 |
| 13 | mr.ozi No sports | +$694K 7.7% of $9.1M traded | −$101K profit 6.9× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 82 |
| 14 | Sports only | +$114K 4.0% of $2.8M traded | −$38K profit 3.0× the drawdown | 4 of 6 | 81 |
| 15 | Sports only | +$659K 4.9% of $14M traded | −$221K profit 3.0× the drawdown | 4 of 6 | 80 |
| 16 | M2sx92kljs42 No sports | +$110K 12.0% of $915K traded | −$45K profit 2.5× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 80 |
| 17 | LondonBridge | +$38K 2.8% of $1.4M traded | −$9K profit 4.2× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 80 |
| 18 | pakukudolphi No sports | +$88K 2.7% of $3.3M traded | −$39K profit 2.3× the drawdown | 6 of 6 | 79 |
| 19 | No sports | +$517K 20.3% of $2.5M traded | −$16K profit 33× the drawdown | 6 of 6 | 79 |
| 20 | SineNooneEI Sports only | +$779K 7.6% of $10M traded | −$207K profit 3.8× the drawdown | 4 of 6 | 78 |
| 21 | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA No sports | +$606K 3.0% of $20M traded | −$145K profit 4.2× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 75 |
| 22 | WarriorPooh No sports | +$81K 5.4% of $1.5M traded | −$35K profit 2.3× the drawdown | 6 of 6 | 75 |
| 23 | No sports | +$891K 37.1% of $2.4M traded | −$320K profit 2.8× the drawdown | 6 of 6 | 75 |
| 24 | Kevindoto No sports | +$370K 15.2% of $2.4M traded | −$30K profit 12× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 74 |
| 25 | No sports | +$858K 5.7% of $15M traded | −$203K profit 4.2× the drawdown | 4 of 6 | 74 |
| 26 | swisstony | +$11M 1.8% of $610M traded | −$1.8M profit 6.0× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 71 |
| 27 | Jsram Sports only | +$2.4M 11.1% of $22M traded | −$982K profit 2.4× the drawdown | 4 of 6 | 68 |
| 28 | pIebe No sports | +$777K 3.2% of $25M traded | −$147K profit 5.3× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 67 |
| 29 | No sports | +$235K 10.4% of $2.3M traded | −$26K profit 9.1× the drawdown | 6 of 6 | 66 |
| 30 | carlos484 No sports | +$160K 11.5% of $1.4M traded | −$17K profit 9.4× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 64 |
| 31 | Atomforge | +$80K 5.3% of $1.5M traded | −$12K profit 6.6× the drawdown | 4 of 6 | 63 |
| 32 | +$20K 4.0% of $505K traded | −$9K profit 2.4× the drawdown | 4 of 6 | 62 | |
| 33 | getbipped No sports | +$502K 8.3% of $6.0M traded | −$147K profit 3.4× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 62 |
| 34 | drainedandpoor | +$691K 6.2% of $11M traded | −$284K profit 2.4× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 61 |
| 35 | flawfence No sports | +$1.2M 8.1% of $14M traded | −$363K profit 3.2× the drawdown | 5 of 6 | 60 |
Steadiness (0 to 100) is how close the profit curve is to a straight rising line. Worst drawdown is the largest fall from a peak inside the period. Profit is the result of the positions with fees taken out, without rewards or rebates, as Polymarket reports it for the wallet. To qualify for 180 days: history for the whole period, at least $10,000 of profit, 60 trades, 30 days with trades, 2 of every 3 months in profit, steadiness of 60 or more and profit of at least 2 times the worst drawdown.
High turnover is a wallet whose profit is under 1.5% of more than $5 million traded in the period, the pattern of market making or arbitrage rather than of calling outcomes. They are left out of this list (16 in this view); choose Shown to see them. No sports and Sports only go by where the wallet has at least 80% of its dollars (open positions and the large orders we recorded). Polymarket's international platform only: Kalshi does not publish who trades. Pro members can follow a wallet and get its large orders on Telegram.
A wallet is an address, not a person: one person can use several. Figures count orders of $1,000 or more on the markets we track, and of $10,000 or more on other markets, on Polymarket's international platform, since we started recording. A past record does not predict the next result, and nothing here is a suggestion to follow anyone. To have an address removed from these pages, write to hello@callquake.com. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.
Questions
What is a steady wallet?
A Polymarket wallet whose profit grew in a nearly straight line over the period, instead of coming from one lucky bet. We measure it on the daily profit series Polymarket publishes for every wallet.
How is the steadiness score calculated?
It runs from 0 to 100 and says how close the wallet's profit curve is to a straight rising line (the R² of profit against time). 100 would be the same gain every day; a wallet that made everything in one week scores low.
Which wallets qualify?
Only wallets with history for the whole period, a minimum profit ($5,000 in 90 days), a minimum number of trades and trading days, at least 2 of every 3 months in profit, a steadiness of 60 or more and a profit of at least 2 times the worst drawdown. We watch about 500 wallets, taken from Polymarket's leaderboards and from the large orders we record.
Why is there no ROI?
A return on investment needs the money each wallet put in, and Polymarket does not publish deposits and withdrawals. We show profit against the dollars traded and against the worst drawdown instead, which can be checked.
Does profit include rewards and rebates?
No. We use the result of the positions, with trading fees already taken out. Rewards, rebates and referral income are left out, because they say nothing about being right.
Should I follow these wallets?
This page is information, not a suggestion. A past record does not predict the next result, a wallet is an address and not a person, and the same person can use several wallets.